Mert Özen Further With Every Line

Blog

Mert Özen's blog posts on software development, backend, frontend, and DevOps.

ALL All 1211 posts
BE Backend 229 posts
FE Frontend 152 posts
DO DevOps 120 posts
DB Database 109 posts
AI Artificial Intelligence 70 posts
SEC Security 85 posts
DSN Software Design 106 posts
ARC Software Architecture 124 posts
QA Testing & Quality 33 posts
PM Project Management 53 posts
CS Computer Science Fundamentals 49 posts
SEO SEO & GEO 38 posts
DEV Developer Tools 43 posts
Series
1 posts found #cone-of-uncertainty
Newest Oldest Popular
Why Software Estimates Go Wrong: Estimate vs Target vs Commitment, the Cone of Uncertainty and the Planning Fallacy
Project Management PART 01

Why Software Estimates Go Wrong: Estimate vs Target vs Commitment, the Cone of Uncertainty and the Planning Fallacy

Estimates go wrong because they are usually given as a single number, at the most uncertain moment and from an optimistic scenario; the honest answer is a range, a confidence level and assumptions. We cover estimate vs target vs commitment, the cone of uncertainty and the planning fallacy with C# code that processes the Bookstore team's estimation history for 12 features.

14 Nov 2026 13 min 2
Blog Map